The chances of hive failing are close to zero. Why? There is so much built on top of it that it will take all those projects dying before hive dies. This is my belief.
The future of the blockchain is in the hands of the communities and projects built on it. This is the bigger picture, not hive price.
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I don't see it failing. You are right in how you see it and the expansion of all these other projects will make hive an even better prospect for others to join and build. I think it will hit $10 at some stage and want to be sitting pretty when it does.
Not to mention all of the other projects that we can get involved with while building a stake.
It might drop to 10c again if we hit a hard bear market but the chain is here to stay and to grow.