Why Ferrari Still Looks Expensive After a 30% Drop

in TradFi23 days ago

Ferrari: Cheaper, Not Cheap

Ferrari is one of those brands everyone has heard of. The iconic red cars stand for strength, speed, and luxury. Ferrari stock has reflected that prestige as well, delivering an impressive performance, nearly a 10x return over the past decade.

Now, however, the stock is consolidating. It’s down more than 30% from its all-time high of €489 and currently trades around €320. The big question: is this a good time for investors to step into the driver’s seat?

From a technical perspective, the chart doesn’t really show a clear bottom yet. On top of that, valuation remains stretched despite the correction. The P/E ratio is still above 50, expensive even for a high-quality company like Ferrari.

Operationally, Ferrari has continued to deliver positive revenue and EPS growth over recent quarters, but the pace has clearly slowed. Growth has come down from high-teens and double-digit rates to more modest mid-single digits. Management’s outlook is also cautious, with lower shipment volumes expected and ongoing uncertainty around the cost and long-term success of its EV strategy.

To sum it up: yes, the stock is cheaper than before but it’s far from cheap. At current levels, I wouldn’t be a buyer, as the risks don’t seem fully reflected in the price yet. What do you guys think?

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250ish sounds a good entrance point... On F1 is not doing well, but normal cars should be decent still

True, the people buying Ferraris still have enough to afford them. The luxuries for the middle class is a different topic.

Economy isn’t collapsing here. I’m quite surprised to be honest, inflation has calmed with oil getting almost cut in half. Obviously prices never go back down, the rate of inflation just slows and lowers, but things are actually going better than they have. GDP will likely be highest in 2026 than any year since pre 2008. I predicted a recession but I gotta say it’s not looking likely in 2026. Not for USA to begin the trouble at least, obviously things get contagious when they go wrong, but the middle class got a big tax cut on average which didn’t take effect until now as people file 2025 taxes. People I know first hand tell me they believed the media that Trump was only cutting taxes for rich, the truth is the rich hardly got a cut besides the biz rate which makes sense to keep companies here. Middle class actually got a tax cut and the service industry gets the biggest. The Trump policies will keep a recession off for 2026 almost certain. We all know the damage long term is already done, but for short term these changes will keep growth higher then it’s been in many years. I’d guess the big recession stays off for 18 more months minimum baring ant intervention collapse. But things have gone from terrible to ok for now. Not great from horrible but ok from horrible.

Oh to throwback to a previous conversation, it’s looking like that 60/40 call on Bitcoin topping for cycle at 126K, well it’s looking 50/50 now. We might indeed see a new ATH in a new time showing the cycle is changing more than I anticipated. Monero is up 200% in 12 months, Most alts are down 50% plus , Hive down 75% sand tile, so the everything moved together stuff is breaking with and this part I predicted, we’d see independence and things move differently based on individual reasons. While most alts are dying, winners are showing up outta the crowds too. It’s very interesting times my friend! Monero is a crypto everybody should hold a little of.
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Thanks for the feedback, Gene. Interesting insights. 👍🏻

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luxury cars still is a good investments to those who can afford it. Especially if it is not mass produced

For me its not an investment, more a consumer good. At least if you drive it regularly.

well i am saying it as a brand that got its worth. I think like this because maybe i live in a country that got a ferrari in limited numbers.

Greetings friends, I don't know anything about finance, but if I had enough money to make those kinds of purchases, I would definitely take the risk. A Ferrari is a Ferrari.

Those actions are very tempting.

Perhaps the growth recorded in recent months has also made many people attentive to what the graph may continue to show. Talking about Ferrari is no small matter, but even so, I think some people prefer to be cautious in the face of potential risks that may seem minimal but are nevertheless there.

The growth hs slowed. That’s the reason for the weakness of Ferrari stock.

I would love to have money and buy a Ferrari and drive it around the streets of Venezuela, then go to my teaching job where I earn $1 a month and show them off. I know I'm dreaming. But if it were up to me, I would buy a lot of Ferrari stock. I've loved this car since I was a little girl. I remember taking my brothers' toy cars and putting my dolls in those little Ferraris, and well, then my brothers would get really mad.

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I want a Ferrari.

I imagine that the brand and the time in which the company has been in the market must have a lot of influence and that it is a symbol of elegance. I guess. Excellent analysis.. Sometimes it's good to reflect on why things happen

Thanks 🤝🏻

Car manufacturing is such a brutal industry. One reason Tesla has done so well imo is they have a long-term vision. Also, Elon is a super genius which is basically just a cheat code to have him be in charge of a company 🤣

Yes its a very Hard business with rather low margins. Real proof of work.

PIZZA!

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@geneeverett(1/10) tipped @borsengelaber

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